Two-Buck Gas Likely to Fuel Re-Addiction to OPEC, N.Y. Times Columnist Writes
By Scott Doggett October 22, 2008
The 2 is back. Last week, U.S. retail gasoline prices fell below $3 a gallon -- to an average of $2.91 -- the lowest level in almost a year. Why does this news leave New York Times
op-ed columnist Tom Friedman with mixed feelings?
Because in the middle of this wrenching economic crisis, with unemployment rising and 401(k)'s shrinking, it would be a real source of relief for many Americans to get a break at the pump. Today's declining gasoline prices act like a tax cut for consumers and can save $15 to $20 a tank-full for an SUV-driving family, compared with when gasoline was $4.11 a gallon in July, he writes (registration required).
Yet, it is impossible for him to ignore the fact that when gasoline hit $4.11 a gallon we changed -- a lot. Americans drove less, polluted less, exercised more, rode more public transportation and, most importantly, overwhelmed Detroit with demands for smaller, more fuel-efficient, hybrid and electric cars. The clean energy and efficiency industries saw record growth -- one of our few remaining engines of real quality job creation.
But with little credit available today for new energy start-ups, and lower oil prices making it harder for existing renewables like wind and solar to scale, and a weak economy making it nearly impossible for Congress to pass a carbon tax or gasoline tax that would make clean energy more competitive, what will become of our budding clean-tech revolution?
This moment feels to him like a bad B-movie rerun of the 1980s. And he knows how this movie ends -- with our re-addiction to oil and OPEC, as well as corrosive uncertainty for our economy, trade balance, security and environment.
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While I can't argue that we might remain addicted to OPEC, I doubt the "refuel our addiction to OPEC" portion. That implies that we'll increase it. The very economic stresses pressing on most American's (outside of fuel costs) will help to ensure that they still make the most of every gallon of fuel they put in their vehicles, just to have the extra to put toward other expenses that are *NOT* going away.
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