Chrysler Parts Sale: Who Will Buy?
February 21, 2007
What if Chrysler were sold for its parts, not in its entirety? Who might the buyers be then?
Writer Paul Ingrassia makes a couple suggestions in a column in today’s Wall Street Journal in how Chrysler’s parts could be divvied up, a necessity if it were bought by a private equity firm. Jeep could go to Honda, which doesn’t have rugged, off-road SUVs. Dodge could go to Nissan, which makes sport-utilities and trucks, though it hasn’t been terribly successful with its large trucks. The Chrysler brand, with its vast dealership network across the U.S. and Canada, could go to a Chinese car company looking to quickly establish a beachhead in North America.
Ingrassia also does some intriguing math. He notes General Motors and Ford – “the Big Two” – are now worth only what Daimler paid for Chrysler alone nine years ago. “Consider that in 1998, Daimler paid more than $35 billion for Chrysler, which had about 14% of the U.S. auto market and a few international sales. Ironically, today the combined market capitalization of General Motors and Ford, which despite their troubles still have a combined U.S. market share of about 40%, is about the same: $36 billion. So the 'Big Two' now are worth only what Daimler paid for Chrysler alone nine years ago. Today Daimler will be lucky to get a fourth of what it paid for Chrysler.”
Ingrassia poses as “possibly the most intriguing scenario” to purchase Chrysler as a consortium of private-equity firms. Or, the “real long-shot buyer" -- multibillionaire Kirk Kerkorian, who was GM's largest individual shareholder last year until he sold his shares after GM rejected entering the Nissan-Renault alliance.
"Mr. Kerkorian's auto-industry strategist, Jerome B. York, once was Chrysler's chief financial officer, and the two helped deliver Chrysler into the hands of Daimler a decade ago -- a transaction on which Mr. Kerkorian made billions. But Mr. York presumably knows Chrysler's pitfalls as well as its potential, so Mr. Kerkorian is a less-likely buyer than deal-hungry private-equity firms,” writes Ingrassia.
Ingrassia knows his stuff. Now president of news strategy for Dow Jones, he is a former Detroit correspondent of the Wall Street Journal. He and Joe White, the paper’s current Detroit bureau chief, won a Pulitzer price for their auto coverage and authored a must-read book: Comeback: The Fall and Rise of the American Automobile Industry.
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According to Bloomberg, United Auto Group Inc., the second- largest publicly traded car dealer that has Chrysler dealerships, does not see the sale happening. The company feels that the models of the two carmakers would overlap and the dealer force would have to be mixed together, which would be tough. According to reports, some analysts also have opined that the two companies have no synergies at the corporate level. They feel that both General Motors and DaimlerChrysler have matching product lines and are trying to fix capacity and labor issues.
The anti-trust issues are not expected to be a dampener for the General Motors - Chrysler deal. Since market share is fast eroding for U.S. automakers, the new combination would not be threatening enough, feel certain analysts.
Analysts also feel that though with the acquisition, Chrysler's minivans and rear-wheel-drive sedans would be accessible to General Motors, in nearly all other segments both companies have overlapping products.
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Posted by: The Car Geek | February 21, 2007 at 5:57 PM
Daimler paid more than $35 billion for Chrysler, which had about 14% of the U.S. auto market and a few international sales. Ironically, today the combined market capitalization of General Motors and Ford, which despite their troubles still have a combined U.S. market share of about 40%, is about the same: $36 billion. So the "Big Two" now are worth only what Daimler paid for Chrysler alone nine years ago. Today Daimler will be lucky to get a fourth of what it paid for Chrysler.”
Oi vey, 9 yrs later Chrysler gets 25% residual, that doesn't make very good biz senses.
Should the money had went to Porsche or Quandt the return would be much more handsome.
Posted by: blow fish | February 21, 2007 at 6:20 PM