October Sales Returning to Pre-Clunker Norm

With another week gone by, October sales look to be on track for Seasonally Adjusted 2010 Ford Focus - 225.JPG Annualized Rate (SAAR) in the low 10 million range, according to the latest data from Edmunds.com, which issues a more detailed forecast later this week.

General Motors' market share, which in the early going of the month stood at 22.4 percent, has slipped slightly to 21.7 percent in the latest Edmunds.com analysis.

In terms of sales by segments, the market appears to be returning to a pre-Cash for Clunkers equilibrium between large SUVs and trucks compared with small cars.

Sales of compact cars during this summer's Car Allowance Rebate Systems (CARS) program, in full swing in late July and August, soared. Market share for the segment in August shot up to 23.5 percent. Edmunds.com's analysis shows the segment falling back to 15.3 percent this month, nearly on par with the 15.9 percent before the Clunker program.

At the same time, sales of large trucks and SUVs fell during the Cash for Clunkers program. Those two segments as well are returning to more normal levels.

The market share of large trucks fell to 10.1 percent during Cash for Clunkers. It has shot up to 13.6 percent - above the pre-Clunker level of 11.8 percent due to October being the industry's truck month during which incentives of trucks are hefty.

The share of large SUVs fell to 2.9 percent of August sales. In October, it is up to 5.7 percent, above the pre-Clunker level of 4.7 percent.

Segment          Pre-Clunker  August    October
Compact Car           15.9%                 23.5%        15.3%
Large Truck             11.8%                 10.1%        13.6%
Large SUV                4.7%                   2.9%          5.7%
Source: Edmunds.com

Automakers report sales on Tuesday, Nov. 3. -- Michelle Krebs, Senior Analyst and Editor at Large

Photo by Ford

The compact Ford Focus was one of August's hot sellers.

Posted by Michelle Krebs at 6:39 AM under Analysis , Companies , GM | Comments (1) | digg this | Seed Newsvine

1 Comments

If we're back to the days of 10M sales, ... the US auto industry is still in big trouble. Way too much capacity, and I don't see Hyundai NOT gaining share. The US auto industry would be better with a healthy Ford eating Chrysler's liquidated market share.

Posted by: maitlandking | October 26, 2009 at 10:30 AM

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Michelle Krebs Michelle Krebs, veteran automotive-industry authority, joins Edmunds editors, analysts and data experts to provide news and commentary.
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